I spy 100Mbps

Stilgherrian

One of the funniest things about the National Broadband Network debate is the persistent myth that no-one could conceivably use 100Mbps data speeds at home. That, and Malcolm Turnbull’s selective deafness when folks explain otherwise. But let’s have another go, shall we?

It’s 5.30pm, and the family is at home. Parents Lisa and David are both still working.

Lisa is a geologist, managing one of Western Australia’s biggest mines. Most of the grunt work is done by robots, with only essential maintenance staff on site, and most of that is controlled from an operations room in Perth. But it was easier and cheaper to let Lisa work from her home near Ballarat than persuade her to relocate to WA.

On one screen, Lisa keeps an eye on a couple of high-definition TV images streamed live from the mine (say 2 x 5Mbps). On another she manipulates a 3D model of rock strata (10Mbps) that she’s discussing via video with a consultant in Queensland and her boss in Perth (5Mbps).

Her husband David is HR manager with a major property developer. His PA, Melissa, is in Toowoomba. They work closely through telepresence. Both David and Melissa have normal office computer screens in front of them. But on David’s left sits another screen showing Melissa at her desk, and on Melissa’s right a screen shows David.

With constant live sound and vision each way (10Mbps) it’s just like they were seated next to each other, especially when a second high-res video stream (10Mbps) lets them show each other hand-written notes and other non-digital objects – including their kids’ sporting trophies, helping maintain the workplace’s social bonds.

We’re already at 45Mbps and we haven’t even started on Joshua working on his history homework with three classmates across town (10Mbps). Or Emily slacking off and watching movies (5Mbps). Or Jessica’s appointment with her dermatologist  (10Mbps).

And, given that the NBN’s 100Mbps connection can be sliced into at least four separate, secure channels, let’s not forget possibilities like home security cameras beaming HD imagery back to a monitoring centre (10Mbps).

None of this is blue-sky stuff. All of it involves known, well-understood hardware and software being deployed to take advantage of higher bandwidth.

“Much of this vision [of robotic mining] already exists today or is being developed by research teams in Australia,” wrote Professor Hugh Durrant-Whyte last year. His team at the Australian Centre for Field Robotics at the University of Sydney is a world leader.

High-end three-screen telepresence systems consume about 15Mbps of bandwidth. The full-room hardware is expensive now, sure. But for a quick office-grade set-up you could, today, grab a couple of 27-inch screens and HD webcams for less than the cost of a high-end office chair. An entry-level computer could handle the video. All that’s missing is the bandwidth.

When the bandwidth is available, when the potential market for telepresence hardware is not in the dozens of units but the hundreds of thousands, prices will inevitably plummet.

Now NBN opponents like to point to individual applications and say, “That doesn’t need 100Mbps.” But that’s disingenuous. People and, especially, families and small businesses don’t use the internet one application at a time. Things happen in parallel. You need to add the bandwidth requirements together so that David doesn’t have to shut down his office so Jessica can receive medical advice.

(You’ll also see the disingenuous trick of pointing to an individual NBN application and saying, “That doesn’t justify the cost.” Again, it ignores the need to add up all of the benefits – including the reduced need for transport infrastructure when more people telecommute.)

Opponents also like saying that not everyone will need or even want 100Mbps. That's also true. But that's like saying not everyone needs or wants wider traffic lanes because they, personally, drive a Hyundai Getz. 

The opponents who still valiantly push the idea that wireless or hybrid fibre-coax (HFC) cable could do all this cheaper than fibre to the premises are being disingenuous too. While those technologies might be able to deliver comparable download speeds – for now at least – their upload speeds are relatively pitiful.

Emily might be able to watch her movies, but forget about the active participation of Lisa, David, Joshua and Jessica because you just won’t get the upload speed for all their video streams.

Actually there’s another funny thing about all this: the government’s complete inability to counter this no-use-for-fibre-speeds myth. The own goal of Tuesday’s National Digital Economy Strategy, setting national targets to justify the NBN that don’t require the NBN, was particularly chuckleworthy.

Yet, as it happens, DBCDE has already made a 7-minute video that says pretty much all of what I’ve just said, At home with the NBN. Multiple family members running multiple live video and data streams without interfering with each other.

The video has some flaws. I would gleefully stab the smug whitebread middle-class family it depicts, because it reinforces the myth that the NBN isn’t for the battlers. The work of a factory shift leader is about supervising people – and that’s still best done by watching what they’re doing, looking them in the eye and having a quick word. The NBN enables that remotely too. The transparent computer screens give the impression this is some far-distant future, not just around the corner. And don’t get me started on the frivolity of the mother shopping for a new dress.

Now there’s lots to criticise about the NBN project. But applications to use its fibre capacity are here today, ready and waiting. Can we please kill this myth once and for all?

Stilgherrian is a writer, broadcaster and consultant covering the intersection of technology, politics and the media. He majored in computing science, has used online services heavily since the mid-1980s, and has worked as a network administrator.

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Phillip Stevens

There has never been an issue about our ability or desire to consume up to and beyond 100Mb/s of bandwidth, to my knowledge.

My issue with the NBN lies with the Government's responsibility to sensibly and economically allocate limited public funds.

Whilst it may be nice to tele-presence with grandma, or business colleagues from anywhere in Australia, I can't help but think it'd be better to get government resources (our taxes) to build port and rail facilities to support our industry, and build sustainable energy resources to keep our lights on and industry running.

Many very important port, energy, rail, and health projects are currently under funded. This is well documented in the Infrastructure Australia documents. http://arseh.at/infrastructaust Redistributing 50% to 70% of the NBN Co budget to build these more economically viable projects would seem to be a better use of our public purse.

Frank Grant

Our household has six people. Ten years ago the home network ran at 10mb/s. Soon this was found to be too slow with members shuffling files around, watching videos and listening to music. So a couple years later the network was updated to 100mb/s. Two years ago the network was at stretching point again so the network was updated to 1 gb/s. All this traffic is inside the network. Our Internet only runs at 1.5mb/s. Upload is only .2mb/s. The big users of data transfer are MythTV, DLNA server and file transfers.

I am mentioning this information because the Internet is really a big LAN or WAN. What ever you can do on a LAN you can do on the Internet. Who ever says that no one needs 100mb/s Internet is an idiot. Modern technology especially on the digital side changes / improves very quickly. You are looking at new ideas, hardware every six months. Don't be short sighted by looking at now. Within ten years your will be wishing you had a 1 gb/s connection.

Also I am one of these lower income households.

Anthony Notaras

Hasn't this service been available for years from Telstra? The issue is that you want the 85% of the population who do not want it to subsidise the 15% who do.

Sam Birmingham

"One of the funniest things about the National Broadband Network debate is the persistent myth that no-one could conceivably use 100Mbps data speeds at home."

Maybe I'm out of the loop, but I can't recall anyone ever listing that in their Top 5 reasons for/against the NBN.

And, to be brutally honest, I was wholly underwhelmed by the hypothetical situation outlined above... Seriously, is this high-powered family's potential data consumption supposed to convince us that we need the NBN?

Given that 14% of households with annual income of $40,000 -$79,000 don't even use the internet (presumably because many of them can't stretch the family budget that far), perhaps the author could paint a hypothetical picture of those families and how this $40b project might be adapted to (a) divert funds towards providing every household with access to the internet at an affordable price; and (b) provide scope for higher-income households and businesses with significant data needs to access faster internet out of their own pocket?

Barry White

Amazing, especially after I read the authors CIV.
If the family requires that sort of bandwidth, let the employers pay for it, not everybody else.

You can dream up all these applications that will be used by a very small percentage of users.
By getting fibre to all RIMs and exchanges, those that need 100Mbit could get it at a reasonable cost and the overall cost would be much cheaper.

william myers

You appear to overlook one important fact in your analysis - the human mind can only process so much information at a time.For a start the couple of high-definition TV images streamed live from the mine (say 2 x 5Mbps) can be on standby ie called up at an instant, she can only concentrate on one thing at a time, the 3D image, her the work colleague or her husband - doesn't need 3 channels. 45 M bits is all this family really need.and this is an extreme example How many households will need this level of Ferrari Service- One in 100,000? Meanwhile all the Getz drivers will be paying for Labor's folly. We all want faster broadband but we don't want the tech nerds taking over and giving us something the vast majority don't need or want.

Also since you appear to know so much about fibre systems, why don't you go into the technical difficulties of joining and installing the system, of entering homes without the approval of the owner because every house must have a fibre, and what to do if the installer encounters asbestos. I believe the cost of this project will overrun by a factor of at least 2 or most likely will be dropped once the real price is known.

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